Roy Blunt and Big Oil
David Vitter is Cheating on the Truth
Rob Portman
Joe Sestak for Senate
Bill Halter for Senate
Expand the Map!
Expand the Map!
via ActBlue
Kendrick Meek (FL) $
Bill Halter (AR) $
Charlie Melancon (LA) $
Joe Sestak (PA) $
Paul Hodes (NH) $
Robin Carnahan (MO) $
Advertise Liberally
Advertise Liberally

Advertise on all of the top liberal blogs with just one click!

Election Day 2010 is in:

Support Senate Guru


Democratic Senators and Candidates
Alabama:
-Attorney William Barnes
Alaska:
-unknown
Arizona:
-Tuscon City Councilman Rodney Glassman
Arkansas:
-Senator Blanche Lincoln
-Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter
California:
-Senator Barbara Boxer
Colorado:
-Senator Michael Bennet
-Former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut:
-Attorney General Richard Blumenthal
Delaware:
-New Castle County Executive Chris Coons
Florida:
-Congressman Kendrick Meek
-North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns
-Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre
Georgia:
-Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond
-Activist R.J. Hadley
Hawaii:
-Senator Daniel Inouye
Idaho:
-unknown
Illinois:
-Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias
Indiana:
-Congressman Brad Ellsworth
Iowa:
-Attorney Roxanne Conlin
-Former State Senator Tom Fiegen
-Former State Representative Bob Krause
Kansas:
-Retired newspaper editor Charles Schollenberger
Kentucky:
-Attorney General Jack Conway
Louisiana:
-Congressman Charlie Melancon
Maryland:
-Senator Barbara Mikulski
Missouri:
-Secretary of State Robin Carnahan
Nevada:
-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
New Hampshire:
-Congressman Paul Hodes
New York-A:
-Senator Chuck Schumer
New York-B:
-Senator Kirsten Gillibrand
North Carolina:
-Former State Senator Cal Cunningham
-Secretary of State Elaine Marshall
North Dakota:
-State Senator Tracy Potter
Ohio:
-Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher
Oklahoma:
-unknown
Oregon:
-Senator Ron Wyden
Pennsylvania:
-Congressman Joe Sestak
South Carolina:
-Charleston County Councilman Vic Rawl
South Dakota:
-unknown
Texas (if KBH resigns):
-Former Comptroller John Sharp
Utah:
-Liquor Control Commission Chair & Businessman Sam Granato
Vermont:
-Senator Patrick Leahy
Washington:
-Senator Patty Murray
Wisconsin:
-Senator Russ Feingold

Republican Retirements, Resignations & Passings
Sam Brownback (R-KS): Announced retirement, 12/18/08
Christopher "Kit" Bond (R-MO): Announced retirement, 1/8/09
George Voinovich (R-OH): Announced retirement, 1/12/09
Judd Gregg (R-NH): Announced retirement (we think), 2/12/09
Jim Bunning (R-KY): Announced retirement, 7/27/09
Mel Martinez (R-FL): Officially resigned, 9/9/09

Primary Challengers to GOP Incumbents
Arizona (John McCain):
-Former Congressman J.D. Hayworth
-Businessman Jim Deakin
Georgia (Johnny Isakson):
-Congressman Paul Broun (rumored)
Louisiana (David Vitter):
-Former State Senator James David Cain (considering)
-Retired Lieutenant General Russel Honore (rumored)
-Retired State Supreme Court Justice Chet Traylor (rumored)
North Carolina (Richard Burr):
-Asheville City Councilman Eddie Burks
Utah (Robert Bennett):
-Businesswoman Cherilyn Eagar
-Businessman James Williams
-Businessman Tim Bridgewater
-Former gubernatorial counsel Mike Lee
-Former Juab County Attorney (and gubernatorial brother) David Leavitt (rumored)

Primary Challengers to GOP Establishment-Anointed Candidates
Arkansas (John Boozman):
-State Senator Gilbert Baker
-Businessman Curtis Coleman
-State Senator Kim Hendren
-2004 Senate nominee Jim Holt
Colorado (Jane Norton):
-Weld County DA Ken Buck
-Businessman Cleve Tidwell
-Former State Senator Tom Wiens
Connecticut (Rob Simmons):
-Businesswoman Linda McMahon
-Economist Peter Schiff
-2004 Senate Nominee Jack Orchulli (considering)
Delaware (Mike Castle):
-2008 Senate nominee Christine O'Donnell
Missouri (Roy Blunt):
-State Senator Chuck Purgason
New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte):
-1996 Gubernatorial Nominee Ovide Lamontagne
-Businessman Jim Bender
-Businessman William Binnie

Right-Leaning Candidates
Arizona:
-Insurance Consultant Rick Biondi (Libertarian)
-Business Consultant Ian Gilyeat (independent)
Arkansas:
-Veteran Trevor Drown (independent)
California:
-Activist Gail Lightfoot (Libertarian)
Colorado:
-Businessman Maclyn Stringer (Libertarian)
Florida:
-Professor Marshall DeRosa (Constitution)
-Veteran Alex Snitker (Libertarian)
-Conservative activist Bernie DeCastro
Georgia:
-Radio personality Eric Von Haessler (Libertarian)
-Pilot Chuck Donovan (Libertarian)
Kansas:
-Activist Joe Bellis (Reform)
Louisiana:
-Anthony Gentile (Libertarian)
-Vietnam veteran William Robert Lang (independent)
Missouri:
-Jerry Beck (Constitution)
-Jonathan Dine (Libertarian)
Nevada:
-Businessman Jon Ashjian (Tea Party)
-Conservative activist Jim Duensing (Libertarian)
-Veteran Jeff Durbin (independent)
New Hampshire:
-Businessman & veteran Ken Blevens (Libertarian)
New York-B:
-Activist Jacques Ditte (Conservative)
North Carolina:
-Business analyst Mike Beitler (Libertarian)
Ohio:
-Dr. Michael Pryce (Tea Party)
-Steve Linnabary (Libertarian)
-Electrical engineer Eric Deaton (independent)
Oregon:
-Marc Delphine (Libertarian)
Pennsylvania:
-Businessman Mike Yilit (independent)
Texas:
-Veteran Jon Roland (Libertarian)
Vermont:
-John LaPierre (independent)
Wisconsin:
-Cumberland Alderman Rob Taylor (Constitution)

Links
-Democratic National Committee
-Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
-Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
-DSCC's YouTube Page

-CQPolitics Balance of Power Scorecard (regularly updated)
-Swing State Project Competitive Senate Race Ratings (8/11/09)
-Cook Political Report Senate Race Ratings (7/30/09)
-Rothenberg Political Report 2010 Senate Ratings (7/27/09)
-Rasmussen Reports 2010 Election Polls
-Real Clear Politics' 2008 Senate Latest Polls
-Pollster.com 2008 Senate Elections
-National Journal 2008 Senate Race Rankings (7/23/08)
-Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Senate Sensibilities (6/19/08)

-The Hill
-Politico
-Roll Call

-2010 Senate Elections Wikipedia Page
-U.S. Senate Seat-Holders Chart, 1978-present
-Pollster.com
-Project Vote Smart
-An Inconvenient Truth
-Senator Chuck Schumer's Positively American
-Americans United for Change
-Empowering Veterans
-Vote Vets
-Electoral-Vote.com
-Memeorandum

Blog Roll
Senate 2008 Guru

-All Spin Zone
-AmericaBlog
-Atrios
-Bob Geiger
-Booman Tribune
-Campaign Diaries
-The Caucus (NY Times)
-Common Ground (DSCC)
-Congress Matters
-CQPolitics
-CQPolitics Eye on 2010
-Crooks and Liars
-Daily Kos
-The Democratic Daily
-Digby
-Down with Tyranny!
-Elect Blue
-Electile Dysfunction
-Firedoglake
-First Read (MSNBC)
-FiveThirtyEight.com
-The Fix (Washington Post)
-The Gavel (Speaker Pelosi)
-The Group News Blog
-Gun Toting Liberal
-Hotline Blogometer
-Hotline On Call
-The Huffington Post
-Kicking Ass (DNC)
-Left in the West
-Liberal Values
-Marc Ambinder
-MyDD
-Open Left
-The Plum Line (Greg Sargent)
-Political Animal
-Political Base
-The Political Carnival
-Political Ticker (CNN)
-Political Wire
-Politics1
-Progressive Blog Digest
-Progressive Blue
-Real Clear Politics Blog
-Real Clear Politics: Politics Nation
-The Rothenberg Political Report
-Scholars & Rogues
-Senatus
-The Stakeholder (DCCC)
-Swing State Project
-Talking Points Memo
-Think Progress
-VetVoice
-War Room (Salon)
-Wonkette

-43rd State Blues (ID)
-The Albany Project (NY)
-AZ Netroots (AZ)
-Barefoot and Progressive (KY)
-Bleeding Heartland (IA)
-Blogging Blue (WI)
-Blue Arkansas (AR)
-Blue Hampshire (NH)
-Blue Indiana (IN)
-Blue NC (NC)
-Blue Oklahoma (OK)
-Blue Oregon (OR)
-Buckeye State Blog (OH)
-Burnt Orange Report (TX)
-Calitics (CA)
-Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis (AK)
-Colorado Pols (CO)
-The Daily Gotham (NY)
-Delaware Liberal (DE)
-Daily Kingfish (LA)
-Ditch Mitch KY (KY)
-Doc's Political Parlor (AL)
-Fired Up! Missouri (MO)
-FLA Politics (FL)
-Forward Kansas (KS)
-Free State Politics (MD)
-Green Mountain Daily (VT)
-Horse's Ass Seattle (WA)
-Indigo Journal (SC)
-Kansas Jackass (KS)
-Left in Alabama (AL)
-Legum's New Line (MD)
-The Locust Fork Journal (AL)
-Maryland Politics Watch (MD)
-The MountainGoat Report (ID)
-My Left Nutmeg (CT)
-North Decoder (ND)
-Ohio Daily Blog (OH)
-The Pennsylvania Progressive (PA)
-Prarie State Blue (IL)
-Progress Illinois (IL)
-Progressive Alaska (AK)
-Public Policy Polling (NC)
-Red State Rebels (ID)
-Show Me Progress (MO)
-Square State (CO)
-Texas Kaos (TX)
-Tondee's Tavern (GA)
-Uppity Wisconsin (WI)
-The Wasatch Watcher (UT)
-Washblog (WA)


Cheering Them On
-Draft Coop (NC)
-Draft Elaine Marshall (NC)
-Draft Jane Kidd (GA)

Revealing Their Record
-Big Oil Blunt (MO)
-Carly FAILorina (CA)
-Cheating on the Truth (LA)
-Cut and Run Charlie Crist (FL)
-Dirty Deals Dino (WA)
-Doing a Vitter! The David Vitter Hypocrisy Watch (LA)
-Forgotten Crimes (LA)
-The Idiot Factor: Todd Tiahrt's Folly (KS)
-Mr. Portman's Make Believe Neighborhood (OH)
-Not One Red Cent (NRSC)
-Peter King Watch (NY)
-Puppet Jane Norton (CO)
-The REAL McCain (AZ)
-Republican Against Richard Burr (NC)
-Rob Portman: Architect of the Bush Economy (OH)
-Turncoat Trey (KY)
-Two-Faced Kirk (IL)
-Washington Insiders (MO)

YouTube Video Library

The Hall of Fame YouTube Political Video: George Allen and "Macaca"


On Republican Obstructionism


Republican Scandals of 2007


DSCC Chair Bob Menendez Says Hello


MO-Sen: Robin Carnahan Enters the Race


GA-Sen: Georgia can't afford Johnny Isakson


Google Ads

Amazon Ads



Informative Widgets





Senate Guru

Tuesday Night Tidbits

by: Senate Guru

Tue Feb 17, 2009 at 22:59 PM EST


  • The Boston Globe's Derrick Jackson offers a terrific column with "Republican obstinacy: How's it working?"  Read it now.  I'll wait.

  • New York: A new Quinnipiac poll finds that two-thirds of New Yorkers have no opinion about any of the likely combatants in NY-Sen-B:

    Sen. Gillibrand gets a 28 - 10 percent job approval rating, with 62 percent undecided. Similarly, she gets a 24 - 9 percent favorability with 65 percent who haven't heard enough.

    A possible challenger in the 2010 Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate, U.S. Rep. Carolyn McCarthy, has a 24 - 9 percent favorability with 66 percent who haven't heard enough.

    And U.S. Rep. Peter King, a possible 2010 Republican challenger for the Senate seat, has a 21 - 10 percent favorability, with 68 percent who don't know enough to decide.

    In a possible primary, Congresswoman McCarthy leads Senator Gillibrand 34-24, numbers that will encourage those serious about backing a primary challenger to Senator Gillibrand, but numbers that could likely change considerably over time as Senator Gillibrand adjusts to her broader, statewide constituency and increases her name recognition.  Senator Gillibrand soundly leads Republican Rep. King 42-26 in the poll.  Also, when looking at how Governor David Paterson and state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo match up against Republican former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, it may electorally benefit Senator Gillibrand to have Cuomo challenge and defeat Paterson in a primary.

  • Illinois: Roland Burris alters his story again as he now admits that he did try to raise money for Rod Blagojevich early on before he decided that he couldn't accumulate the money that Blagojevich wanted.  If Burris' admissions continue on this trajectory, then he won't be able to run for Senate in 2010 simply because no potential staffers would risk their credibility by working for him!  I think the question at bar is changing from "Will Burris run for a full term in 2010?" to "Will Burris even finish out this term?"  The calls for Burris' resignation have started and will likely grow louder; meanwhile, the Senate Ethics Committee has opened up a preliminary inquiry into the matter.  Stay tuned.

  • Pennsylvania: Republican Arlen Specter has crossed the $100,000 mark in legal fees paid in association with the FEC audit of his 2004 campaign.

  • New Hampshire: Republican Judd Gregg makes it plain that he will not be a candidate for Senate in 2010.  He also highly recommends ousted Republican John Sununu - we'll take the recommendation under advisement.

  • Florida: Many unnamed Florida GOP politicos think that Republican Gov. Charlie Crist will definitely run for Senate in 2010:

    A veteran Republican political consultant who requested anonymity called it a "done deal."

    Of a dozen Republican consultants, political scientists, fundraisers and GOP leaders contacted, only one said Crist would not run. They all say Crist is acting more like a national figure than a governor.

    It could be a lot of posturing to spook Democrats, given Crist's strength in the polls.  Or Crist's plan to expand his national profile could include a Senate seat.  We'll know later in the year.  Many expect Crist to run for President in 2012, which would only give Crist two years of service in a hypothetical Senate term, all of which he would spend on the Presidential campaign trail.  But maybe Crist expects President Obama to win a second term (which could be why Crist was happy to stand by President Obama's side on the President's recent Florida visit) and is instead preparing for a 2016 run.  Crist will be 60-years-old on Election Day 2016, certainly not too old for a Presidential run.  In other news, the St. Petersburg Times offers reasons why Tampa Mayor Pam Iorio should and should not run for Senate in 2010.  The reasons why she should run (including geography, timing, Mayoral term limits, and a solid profile) very much outweigh the reasons why she shouldn't (the difficulty of a campaign and her being better suited as an executive over a legislator).

  • Minnesota: Republicans offer no illusions that Norm Coleman's frivolous lawsuit is about anything other than obstructing democracy (emphasis added by me):

    It is now clear that Senate Republicans have a strategy for maintaining their ability to stall -- or, at the least, dramatically alter -- Obama administration initiatives.

    Individual GOP senators are paying big bucks to keep the Senate's 100th seat -- representing Minnesota -- vacant for as long as possible.

    In effect, key Republicans such as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell are paying $10,000 a piece to maintain their power to obstruct Congress. ...

    So Republican senators are pouring money into the dead-end recount fight of former Senator Norm Coleman.

    Coleman -- now the better part of two months out of office -- continues to mount an exceptionally expensive legal battle to "win" the Minnesota seat that all evidence suggests he has lost. ...

    Bottom line: It looks like we will have a 99-seat Senate for a good bit longer.

    That's fine by Senate Republicans, who are dead set against seating a 59th Democrat -- especially if its Franken, who has emerged as a savvy and politically-potent spokesman on economic issues -- in a chamber where they are barely clinging to their ability to filibuster Obama administration initiatives.

    Texas Senator John Cornyn, who chairs the National Republican Senatorial Committee, says he is glad that Coleman understands he "owes it to... his colleagues here" to keep the seat vacant.

    "He realizes how important retaining that seat is to us," says Cornyn, who has been busy organizing NRSC fund-raising events at which his colleagues and special-interest donors who want to influence them -- or the congressional process -- can write checks to maintain the Coleman recount fight.

    These "Country First" Republican hypocrites' goal is to make sure Minnesotans remain underrepresented in the U.S. Senate for as long as possible.  Simple as that.  Along those lines, Coleman's lawyers, apparently agreeing that Coleman has lost, are already preparing the appeal in order to prolong the contest further still.

  • Georgia: Kudos to the Georgia Democratic Party for not wasting any time.  As soon as Republican Johnny Isakson announced for re-election, the GA-Dems have a YouTube video ready to go explaining why Georgians would be wise to hire someone else for a six-year term.  Video at right. (HT: Tondee's)

  • Colorado: Dear Colorado Republicans considering a 2010 Senate run, I have some good news.  Even when you lose, you can still have a career ahead of you selling booze.  Maybe Backwards Bob Schaffer lost last year to "Boulder liberal" Mark Udall because Schaffer drank too many margaritas.

  • Republicans in Congress are, yet again, guilty of copyright infringement.  No respect for the rule of law, those Congressional Republicans.
  • Senate Guru :: Tuesday Night Tidbits
    Tags: (All Tags)
    Print Friendly View Send As Email
    If Crist runs I'll eat a shoe.
    Why would any governor abandon reelection to run to be one of one hundred, especially when their election is practically guaranteed like Crist's?  And Charlie boy can forget running for president.  The day he announces Sarah, Mitt, and all the other clowns are going to out him faster than he married his beard.

    On the other hand, Burris is, in all likely hood, going to seek a full term.  The guy just has way to much ego and the only way to deal with it is to knock him down a peg in a primary defeat.  Face it, it's coming to that, so let's get a good candidate and just try to have some fun.

    Georgia could shape up to be one of our sleeper races this cycle if things play out.  The state party is clearly not shying away from a fight so hopefully a good candidate will emerge...like Wyc Orr...

    One last little thought for the night, if John Sununu wants to run I'm 1,000,000 percent behind him.  Especially after his recent performance on the Daily Show....

    Check out Blue Arkansas:
    http://bluearkansas.blogspot.com/


    I disagree with a lot of that
    first, Burris will probably be forced to resign, or impeached for perjury. He's not likely to run for re-election if those happen.

    Second, I refuse to get my hopes up on any state like Nebraska, Idaho, Tennessee, South Carolina, and yes Georgia. This blog always gets my hopes up and then they are dashed. I admit the states are changing, but we won't be winning senate seats there for several cycles. We should focus on building the local parties, then launching serious senate bids.

    However, I totally agree on Crist. Governors often don't want to leave, especially if they can run for re-election. He won't run.


    [ Parent ]
    I'll agree with you on the first, but not the second.
    Your right, Burris could be forced to resign, but his ego promises to make that a long and bloody affair that may not be ironed out even by the date of the primary.

    Now, as far as long shot races go, I think you've got the right idea but you're missing something.  We should focus on building the local parties of course, that's something that will have to be done regardless of what happens on the national level, but having contenders for every race, including those at the top of the ballot, are a big part of that.  We can't just pace our years, saying, "This cycle we focus on the state leg races, next cycle we run some candidates for state office, then we run a senate candidate in two cycles."  We've got to talk and chew gum at the same time and put a decent candidate in every race.  Besides, as the Guru as pointed out, even losing campaigns like Noriega, Kleeb, LaRocco, etc. forced Republicans to spread their resources thin and helped to win elsewhere, and you never know when someone's going to have a Macaca moment.

    Check out Blue Arkansas:
    http://bluearkansas.blogspot.com/


    [ Parent ]
    Concerning Norm Coleman and his frivolous contest
    serving the interest of the Republican senators in Washington to keep that seat vacant, I really feel that those Minnesota judges aren't stupid--they know where the wind lies.  The case and the appeal to Minnesota's Supreme Court will be wrapped up by Easter.

    jimfrommichigan

    Premium Sponsors

    Menu

    Make a New Account

    Username:

    Password:



    Forget your username or password?


    Featured Sponsors

    About
    Senate Guru is a privately run blog, not connected to any political campaign, candidate, committee or organization.

    Contact the Senate Guru at senate2008guru at yahoo dot com.

    Join the Senate Guru Facebook Group.

    Subscribe to Senate Guru's RSS feed:


    Click to favorite Senate Guru on Technorati



    Standard Sponsors

    Search




    Advanced Search


    Amazon Ads


    Powered by: SoapBlox