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Democratic Senators and Candidates
Alabama:
-Attorney William Barnes
Alaska:
-unknown
Arizona:
-Tuscon City Councilman Rodney Glassman
Arkansas:
-Senator Blanche Lincoln
-Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter
California:
-Senator Barbara Boxer
Colorado:
-Senator Michael Bennet
-Former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut:
-Attorney General Richard Blumenthal
Delaware:
-New Castle County Executive Chris Coons
Florida:
-Congressman Kendrick Meek
-North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns
-Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre
Georgia:
-Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond
-Activist R.J. Hadley
Hawaii:
-Senator Daniel Inouye
Idaho:
-unknown
Illinois:
-Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias
Indiana:
-Congressman Brad Ellsworth
Iowa:
-Attorney Roxanne Conlin
-Former State Senator Tom Fiegen
-Former State Representative Bob Krause
Kansas:
-Retired newspaper editor Charles Schollenberger
Kentucky:
-Attorney General Jack Conway
Louisiana:
-Congressman Charlie Melancon
Maryland:
-Senator Barbara Mikulski
Missouri:
-Secretary of State Robin Carnahan
Nevada:
-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
New Hampshire:
-Congressman Paul Hodes
New York-A:
-Senator Chuck Schumer
New York-B:
-Senator Kirsten Gillibrand
North Carolina:
-Former State Senator Cal Cunningham
-Secretary of State Elaine Marshall
North Dakota:
-State Senator Tracy Potter
Ohio:
-Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher
Oklahoma:
-unknown
Oregon:
-Senator Ron Wyden
Pennsylvania:
-Congressman Joe Sestak
South Carolina:
-Charleston County Councilman Vic Rawl
South Dakota:
-unknown
Texas (if KBH resigns):
-Former Comptroller John Sharp
Utah:
-Liquor Control Commission Chair & Businessman Sam Granato
Vermont:
-Senator Patrick Leahy
Washington:
-Senator Patty Murray
Wisconsin:
-Senator Russ Feingold

Republican Retirements, Resignations & Passings
Sam Brownback (R-KS): Announced retirement, 12/18/08
Christopher "Kit" Bond (R-MO): Announced retirement, 1/8/09
George Voinovich (R-OH): Announced retirement, 1/12/09
Judd Gregg (R-NH): Announced retirement (we think), 2/12/09
Jim Bunning (R-KY): Announced retirement, 7/27/09
Mel Martinez (R-FL): Officially resigned, 9/9/09

Primary Challengers to GOP Incumbents
Arizona (John McCain):
-Former Congressman J.D. Hayworth
-Businessman Jim Deakin
Georgia (Johnny Isakson):
-Congressman Paul Broun (rumored)
Louisiana (David Vitter):
-Former State Senator James David Cain (considering)
-Retired Lieutenant General Russel Honore (rumored)
-Retired State Supreme Court Justice Chet Traylor (rumored)
North Carolina (Richard Burr):
-Asheville City Councilman Eddie Burks
Utah (Robert Bennett):
-Businesswoman Cherilyn Eagar
-Businessman James Williams
-Businessman Tim Bridgewater
-Former gubernatorial counsel Mike Lee
-Former Juab County Attorney (and gubernatorial brother) David Leavitt (rumored)

Primary Challengers to GOP Establishment-Anointed Candidates
Arkansas (John Boozman):
-State Senator Gilbert Baker
-Businessman Curtis Coleman
-State Senator Kim Hendren
-2004 Senate nominee Jim Holt
Colorado (Jane Norton):
-Weld County DA Ken Buck
-Businessman Cleve Tidwell
-Former State Senator Tom Wiens
Connecticut (Rob Simmons):
-Businesswoman Linda McMahon
-Economist Peter Schiff
-2004 Senate Nominee Jack Orchulli (considering)
Delaware (Mike Castle):
-2008 Senate nominee Christine O'Donnell
Missouri (Roy Blunt):
-State Senator Chuck Purgason
New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte):
-1996 Gubernatorial Nominee Ovide Lamontagne
-Businessman Jim Bender
-Businessman William Binnie

Right-Leaning Candidates
Arizona:
-Insurance Consultant Rick Biondi (Libertarian)
-Business Consultant Ian Gilyeat (independent)
Arkansas:
-Veteran Trevor Drown (independent)
California:
-Activist Gail Lightfoot (Libertarian)
Colorado:
-Businessman Maclyn Stringer (Libertarian)
Florida:
-Professor Marshall DeRosa (Constitution)
-Veteran Alex Snitker (Libertarian)
-Conservative activist Bernie DeCastro
Georgia:
-Radio personality Eric Von Haessler (Libertarian)
-Pilot Chuck Donovan (Libertarian)
Kansas:
-Activist Joe Bellis (Reform)
Louisiana:
-Anthony Gentile (Libertarian)
-Vietnam veteran William Robert Lang (independent)
Missouri:
-Jerry Beck (Constitution)
-Jonathan Dine (Libertarian)
Nevada:
-Businessman Jon Ashjian (Tea Party)
-Conservative activist Jim Duensing (Libertarian)
-Veteran Jeff Durbin (independent)
New Hampshire:
-Businessman & veteran Ken Blevens (Libertarian)
New York-B:
-Activist Jacques Ditte (Conservative)
North Carolina:
-Business analyst Mike Beitler (Libertarian)
Ohio:
-Dr. Michael Pryce (Tea Party)
-Steve Linnabary (Libertarian)
-Electrical engineer Eric Deaton (independent)
Oregon:
-Marc Delphine (Libertarian)
Pennsylvania:
-Businessman Mike Yilit (independent)
Texas:
-Veteran Jon Roland (Libertarian)
Vermont:
-John LaPierre (independent)
Wisconsin:
-Cumberland Alderman Rob Taylor (Constitution)

Links
-Democratic National Committee
-Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
-Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
-DSCC's YouTube Page

-CQPolitics Balance of Power Scorecard (regularly updated)
-Swing State Project Competitive Senate Race Ratings (8/11/09)
-Cook Political Report Senate Race Ratings (7/30/09)
-Rothenberg Political Report 2010 Senate Ratings (7/27/09)
-Rasmussen Reports 2010 Election Polls
-Real Clear Politics' 2008 Senate Latest Polls
-Pollster.com 2008 Senate Elections
-National Journal 2008 Senate Race Rankings (7/23/08)
-Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Senate Sensibilities (6/19/08)

-The Hill
-Politico
-Roll Call

-2010 Senate Elections Wikipedia Page
-U.S. Senate Seat-Holders Chart, 1978-present
-Pollster.com
-Project Vote Smart
-An Inconvenient Truth
-Senator Chuck Schumer's Positively American
-Americans United for Change
-Empowering Veterans
-Vote Vets
-Electoral-Vote.com
-Memeorandum

Blog Roll
Senate 2008 Guru

-All Spin Zone
-AmericaBlog
-Atrios
-Bob Geiger
-Booman Tribune
-Campaign Diaries
-The Caucus (NY Times)
-Common Ground (DSCC)
-Congress Matters
-CQPolitics
-CQPolitics Eye on 2010
-Crooks and Liars
-Daily Kos
-The Democratic Daily
-Digby
-Down with Tyranny!
-Elect Blue
-Electile Dysfunction
-Firedoglake
-First Read (MSNBC)
-FiveThirtyEight.com
-The Fix (Washington Post)
-The Gavel (Speaker Pelosi)
-The Group News Blog
-Gun Toting Liberal
-Hotline Blogometer
-Hotline On Call
-The Huffington Post
-Kicking Ass (DNC)
-Left in the West
-Liberal Values
-Marc Ambinder
-MyDD
-Open Left
-The Plum Line (Greg Sargent)
-Political Animal
-Political Base
-The Political Carnival
-Political Ticker (CNN)
-Political Wire
-Politics1
-Progressive Blog Digest
-Progressive Blue
-Real Clear Politics Blog
-Real Clear Politics: Politics Nation
-The Rothenberg Political Report
-Scholars & Rogues
-Senatus
-The Stakeholder (DCCC)
-Swing State Project
-Talking Points Memo
-Think Progress
-VetVoice
-War Room (Salon)
-Wonkette

-43rd State Blues (ID)
-The Albany Project (NY)
-AZ Netroots (AZ)
-Barefoot and Progressive (KY)
-Bleeding Heartland (IA)
-Blogging Blue (WI)
-Blue Arkansas (AR)
-Blue Hampshire (NH)
-Blue Indiana (IN)
-Blue NC (NC)
-Blue Oklahoma (OK)
-Blue Oregon (OR)
-Buckeye State Blog (OH)
-Burnt Orange Report (TX)
-Calitics (CA)
-Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis (AK)
-Colorado Pols (CO)
-The Daily Gotham (NY)
-Delaware Liberal (DE)
-Daily Kingfish (LA)
-Ditch Mitch KY (KY)
-Doc's Political Parlor (AL)
-Fired Up! Missouri (MO)
-FLA Politics (FL)
-Forward Kansas (KS)
-Free State Politics (MD)
-Green Mountain Daily (VT)
-Horse's Ass Seattle (WA)
-Indigo Journal (SC)
-Kansas Jackass (KS)
-Left in Alabama (AL)
-Legum's New Line (MD)
-The Locust Fork Journal (AL)
-Maryland Politics Watch (MD)
-The MountainGoat Report (ID)
-My Left Nutmeg (CT)
-North Decoder (ND)
-Ohio Daily Blog (OH)
-The Pennsylvania Progressive (PA)
-Prarie State Blue (IL)
-Progress Illinois (IL)
-Progressive Alaska (AK)
-Public Policy Polling (NC)
-Red State Rebels (ID)
-Show Me Progress (MO)
-Square State (CO)
-Texas Kaos (TX)
-Tondee's Tavern (GA)
-Uppity Wisconsin (WI)
-The Wasatch Watcher (UT)
-Washblog (WA)


Cheering Them On
-Draft Coop (NC)
-Draft Elaine Marshall (NC)
-Draft Jane Kidd (GA)

Revealing Their Record
-Big Oil Blunt (MO)
-Carly FAILorina (CA)
-Cheating on the Truth (LA)
-Cut and Run Charlie Crist (FL)
-Dirty Deals Dino (WA)
-Doing a Vitter! The David Vitter Hypocrisy Watch (LA)
-Forgotten Crimes (LA)
-The Idiot Factor: Todd Tiahrt's Folly (KS)
-Mr. Portman's Make Believe Neighborhood (OH)
-Not One Red Cent (NRSC)
-Peter King Watch (NY)
-Puppet Jane Norton (CO)
-The REAL McCain (AZ)
-Republican Against Richard Burr (NC)
-Rob Portman: Architect of the Bush Economy (OH)
-Turncoat Trey (KY)
-Two-Faced Kirk (IL)
-Washington Insiders (MO)

YouTube Video Library

The Hall of Fame YouTube Political Video: George Allen and "Macaca"


On Republican Obstructionism


Republican Scandals of 2007


DSCC Chair Bob Menendez Says Hello


MO-Sen: Robin Carnahan Enters the Race


GA-Sen: Georgia can't afford Johnny Isakson


Google Ads

Amazon Ads



Informative Widgets





Senate Guru

Weekend Round-Up

by: Senate Guru

Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 22:40 PM EDT


  • The Associated Press calls Democrats' odds of winning a 60-seat filibuster proof majority in the Senate a "realistic shot."

    Democrats have solid chances of winning five seats, according to strategists in both parties and public polls, and realistic shots at picking off another three to five Republican senators. Republicans have only one good opportunity for replacing a Democrat, in Louisiana.

    Nevertheless, NRSC Chairman John Ensign is getting optimistic:

    Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev., the GOP Senate campaign chief, says he'll be lucky if his party can hold its losses to two seats - a more optimistic assessment than just a few weeks ago, when he said the best case scenario would be four losses.

    "I'm getting a little bit more optimistic," said Ensign.

    Help quash Ensign's budding optimism with a contribution to some terrific Democratic candidates for Senate via the Expand the Map! ActBlue page today.

  • Alaska: Prosecutors against indicted Ted Stevens now offer that they have an e-mail paper trail regarding quid pro quo and Stevens exerting inappropriate influence.

  • Oregon: Mark your calendars.  The first debate in Oregon's 2008 Senate race between Democratic Speaker Jeff Merkley and Republican Gordon Smith will occur on October 8.  We can safely expect at least a couple more debates to follow.  Meanwhile, Republican Gordon Smith has routinely put campaign contributors ahead of seniors on the priority list.

  • Minnesota: Watch Smilin' Norm Coleman squirm as he gets questioned by the media on ApartmentGate.

    It's not not paying taxes billions of dollars of income; it is a shoebox that I spend a couple waking hours in.  And, as I travel the state, I gotta tell you, people of Minnesota actually appreciate the fact that I live humbly as a Senator.

    Yeah, very humble, Coleman.  Humble and clearly inappropriate.  I guess that since it's just an apartment and it's not billions of dollars, it's perfectly OK that Norm Coleman doesn't pay his monthly rent to his landlord (a friend and Republican operative whose wife Coleman employed), while countless Minnesotan families struggle with coming up with their monthly rents.  In other news, Coleman's record on nuclear weapons is shamefully reckless.

  • Colorado: It's no surprise that conservative talk radio allows the Bob Schaffer camp to spew its falsehoods and misrepresentations.

  • Idaho: Hilariously, the Idaho Statesman's Kevin Richert dissects the Newt Gingrich fundraising letter for Jim Risch.  It is riddled with inaccuracies and misleading statements.  Elsewhere, I am very excited for the debate on Monday evening between Democrat Larry LaRocco and conservative independent Rex Rammell, but lacking in the presence of the debate-ducking Republican Jim Risch.  The debate will be streamed online for your viewing pleasure.

  • Kentucky: Hillbilly Report reminds us that Mitch McConnell has declared himself "the strongest support of the President [George W. Bush] you could find in the Senate."

  • Delaware: Why might Senator Joe Biden provide the best possible running mate for Barack Obama?

    John McCain sent his buddies Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham, without the invitation of the Georgian government or the permission of ours.   The President of Georgia, Misha Saakashvili requested Joe Biden.

    Unless the Obama camp is actually going to plan a Convention-based announcement, we'll know this week.  (This also begs the question, will John McCain announce his running mate this week or during the week of the Democratic National Convention in an attempt to diminish press coverage for the Convention?)

  • Ohio: Continuing its insightful look ahead toward 2010, Public Policy Polling sees continued vulnerability for Republican George Voinovich, as Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher leads Voinovich 40-38.

  • The Gray Lady asks, "Is Jon Stewart the Most Trusted Man in America?"

  • This scathing YouTube video is making the rounds:

  • Senate Guru :: Weekend Round-Up
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    Weekend Round-Up | 9 comments
    During the 1980 Reagan Revolution.
    The Republicans picked up 12 seats in the US Senate. Three of the Democratic Seat(AL,AK,and FL)- The Democratic Senators lost in the primary(Donald Stewart-AL),(Mike Gravel-AK),and Richard Stone-FL). The rest of the Nine Democratic Seats- The Democratic Senators lost in the General Election.
    1)Georgia- Herman Talmadge lost to Mack Mattingly(lost-1986)
    2)Idaho- Frank Church lost to Steve Symms(retired-1992)
    3)Indiana- Birch Bayh lost to Dan Quayle(became VP-1989)
    4)Iowa- John Culver lost to Charles Grassley
    5)New Hampshire- John Durkin lost to Warren Rudman(retired-1992)
    6)North Carolina- Robert Morgan lost to John East(died-1986)
    7)South Dakota- George McGovern lost to James Abnor(lost-1986)
    8)Washington- Warren Magnumson lost to Slade Gorton(lost-1986/2000)
    9)Wisconsin- Gaylord Nelson lost to Robert Kasten.(lost-1992)

    Back in 1980 Reagan carried 44 States- Carter carried 6 States.

    McCain is favored to win.
    (AL),(AR),(AZ),(GA),(ID),(KS),(KY),(LA),(MS),(NE),(OK),(SC),(SD),(TN),(TX),(UT),(WV)and (WY). (18 states). Just like the 1992 Election cycle.

    Looking at 2008- The number of vulnerable Republican Incumbents- are
    1)AK(Stevens-R)- likely to lose to (Begich-D)
    2)NH(Sununu-R)- likely to lose to (Shaheen-D).
    3)MS-B(Wicker-R)- in a tight race against(Musgrove-D).
    4)MN(Coleman-R) in a tight race against (Franken-D).
    5)OR(Smith-R) in a tight race against (Merkley-D)
    6)ME(Collins-R) in a tight race against (Allen-D)
    7)NC(Dole-R) in a tight race against (Hagan-D).
    8)KY(McConell-R) in a tight race against (Lunsford).
    9)GA(Chambliss-R) in a tight race against (Martin).

    plus we win Open GOP seats in VA,NM,CO and possibly ID.  


    little optimistic i'm afraid
    how ever much i would love to be rid of scum like McConell and chambliss, i just don't feel like it's going to be all that close in november when McSame wins KY and GA by large margins. Same goes for ID.

    [ Parent ]
    That is true.
    But does McCain have coattails in those states. McCain is winning KY,GA,ID ,NC and MS because the Conservative White Voters is unwilling to support Obama not because they love McCain or the Republicans.
    On the other hand in Blue States like ME,MN,and OR- Barack Obama is well liked in those states and GOP Senate incumbents except for Collins-ME have mediocre approval ratings.

    For example in KY,- a zell miller type Democrat can say- I am not voting for an inexperience anti american socialist like Obama However I hate McCain because he was the key author of the Immigration Bill that give Amnesty to illegal immigration. But because McCain is the lesser of the two evils- I'll hold my nose and vote for McCain. But in a Senate race- They can say- I hate McConnell because He as senate leader is responsible for allowing out of control government spending and high budget deficits and corruption. and his Democratic challenger- Bruce Lunsford is not as Liberal as the National Democratic Party- he is my kind of Democrat- pro god and guns- I am voting for Lunsford.

    In OR,ME,and MN- The white voters are progressive- They will say I am unhappy with the Iraq War- I will not support any Republican candidate for national office because of the Iraq war. I admire Obama. and Democratic Senate Candidates Merkley-OR,Franken-MN,and Allen-ME are not that bad. So I am voting straight Democratic.  


    [ Parent ]
    stop biden now
    Joe Biden well be the worst possible person in the entire democratic party to be vp. for the following reasons

    1 his ego is so gigantic Washington is not big enough for it

    2. he well knock down and stomp either Michelle or Sen Obama's daughters to get in front of a t.v camera

    3. he well never stay on message

    4 he has no ability to deliver. look at iowa where he got five votes

    5 he is an admitted liar remember 1988

    6 he thought i am amazed he is so articulate was a compliment

    7 he did not help in pa when obama was in trouble. but hey why would you want vp to help when you have a problem.

    8 he already has had a heart attack

    9 he at every moment he well seek to upstage Sen Obama

    10. he would kill Sen Obama to get on meet the press so he well be a secret service nightmare  


    What the hell is this?
    Am we supposed to at all take any of those reasons seriously for not having Obama select Biden as VP? If so, then I see no rationale for Obama not to pick Biden.

    You've convinced me of that. Obama/Biden '08!

    KELL


    [ Parent ]
    Obama's VP.
    During the 2000 Presidential Election.
    Gore's VP shortlist
    1)Holy Joe Lieberman
    2)John Kerry
    3)John Edwards.

    Gore who is a Southerner and more experienced candidate than Baby Bush picked Lieberman because he thought he had no choice but to distant himself from Bill Clinton- the scandals.

    During the 2004 Presidential Election.
    Kerry's VP shortlist
    1)John Edwards
    2)Dick Gephardt
    3)Tom Vilsack.

    Kerry picked Edwards because- He needed help in the South.

    Looking at the 2008 Presidential Election
    Obama's VP shortlist
    1)Joe Biden
    2)Evan Bayh
    3)Tim Kaine.

    Obama lacks experience to be President so It is not going to be Tim Kaine- a one term Governor. It is not going to be Bayh because he is too much of a softy.
    That leave us Biden- he is the assuring candidate for Obama. Has foriegn policy experience- is a great debator, has an attack dog personality- appeals to Reagan Democrats. and Democrats will not lose a Senate Seat if Obama-Biden ticket wins and because of his age- Biden is not going to be the Democratic Presidential Standard bearer in 2016. It will be 2008 Democratic Keynote Speaker and soon to be Junior Virginia US Senator Mark Warner.

    The good thing about selecting Biden is because of Biden's gravitas- McCain will be forced to select Tom Ridge a Vietnam Veteran and Homeland Security Director.  as his runningmate- Tom Ridge is Pro Choice- That will alienate the Pro Life Voters in the Republican Party who will probally stay home.  


    Looking at previous US Senate Election
    Which Senate Candidate running an underdog Senate campaign is a future statewide candidate for statewide office.

    In 2004-(KY) Dan Mongiordo- then a local state Senator ran an underdog race against Jim Bunning. Bunning made gaffes during the campaign calling Mongiordo Saddam's Son. etc. Bunning was re-elected by a 51-49 percent margin thanks to Bush' coattails. In 2007- Mongiordo became Steve Besehears Lt Governor and the Beshear-Mongiordo ticket unseated corrupt GOP Governor Ernie Fletcher.

    In 2000-(MT) Brian Schweitzer- a local rancher ran an underdog race against Conrad Burns. Despite the fact Bush beat Gore in MT by 25 points- Burns was re-elected by a 51-49 percent margin. Schwietzer ran for Governor against scandal plagued GOP Governor Judy Martz. Burns lost to Tester in 2006.

    In 1996-(VA)- Mark Warner- ran against the Popular Senator John Warner- He narrowly lost the election to John Warner. In 1997- Jim Gilmore was elected Governor by a double digit margin over Don Beyer. In 2000- George "Macaca" Allen narrowly unseated Senator Chuck Robb. In 2001- Mark Warner was elected Governor right after the 9-11 attacks.

    In 1992(AR)- Mike Huckabee- then a baptist minister ran an underdog race against Popular Democratic senator Dale Bumpers- Huckabee lost by a 60-40 margin. In 1993- Huckabee was narrowly elected Lt Governor. In 1996 He became Governor of Arkansas after the outgoing Democratic Governor was convicted in the Whitewater related scandal. He served as Governor until 2006- He ran for President in 2008.

    Can Andrew Rice (OK) be a future candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2010. If he makes a strong showing against Jim Inhofe.  


    I would think
    Rice and maybe Hagan are the obvious choices. I really think Hagan has been impressive all around in NC.  I guess Kleeb too, but he still hasn't even held an elected office and the NE Dem bench isn't exactly deep.  

    The other underdog Dems are mostly old or simply far too long of shots to really get any kind of kick start from this campaign.  Guys like Slattery, LaRocco, Lunsford, and Martin have already given statewide office a shot and lost.  

    Find me blogging at Political Realm


    [ Parent ]
    Slattery ran for Governor in 1994
    That was 14 years ago. In 2010- Kathleen Sebelius is term limited. With Kansas other Senator Sam Brownback retiring- Sebelius runs for the US Senate. Slattery can run for Governor again in 2010.
    LaRocco lost during the 1994 Revolution in ID-1 US House Race to Helen Chenoweth. In 2006 He lost the LT Governors race to Jim Risch. LaRocco can run against Bill Sali in 2010 if Sali does not lose.

    We also have to look at underdog Senate Race we ended up winning
    2006 VA US Senate Race- Webb vs Allen
    1998 NC US Senate Race Edwards vs Faircloth.

    As I stated before Liddy Dole(NC) can be like Faircloth in 1998. She can fall asleep in the campaign and be very overconfident and end up losing her seat to Kay Hagan.

    In Georgia- polls have been tightening Chambliss just needs a Macaca moment which is a strong possibilty.

    Kleeb can run for the US Senate in 2012 if Ben Nelson decides to retire or run for Governor in 2014- when Govenor Heineman is term limited.  


    [ Parent ]
    Weekend Round-Up | 9 comments
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