by: you @ soon
Three notes:
Kentucky: WTF, I thought that any Democratic candidate would beat Bunning. Well, give it time my friends. Go Conway!!!Ohio: Strictland should stay put as OH-GOV. Fisher should run for and win OH-SEN for us.NRCC: “the Republican Party should be more like the Taliban”. LOL!!! This is why they will suffer a third straight cycle with huge net losses in the House. They simply can’t win with that attitude.
Check out my sites-http://conservativestateproject.blogspot.com/
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by: SE-779 @ Thu Feb 05, 2009 at 15:45:47 PM CST
by: you @ soon
I am also
perterbed by Kentucky. We should beat Bunning running a rock for senate, it wiould be less embaressing. Very disturbing numbers.
by: NVdem @ Thu Feb 05, 2009 at 17:54:46 PM CST
by: you @ soon
It’s VERY early
99% of people, including Kentuckians, don’t follow minute-to-minute politics as closely as we do. They need to be reminded what a lump Bunning is. February ’09 isn’t the time for that – the autumn of ’10 is the time for that. That the incumbent is only up by the margin of error on every possible Democratic opponent before most of them even enter the race is good news. Be patient.
by: Senate Guru @ Thu Feb 05, 2009 at 17:57:42 PM CST
by: you @ soon
On KY-SEN,
Chandler and Luallen ain’t runnin’. Luallen is stepping out of the way for Conway, and Chandler is eying KY-GOV in 2011 against unpopular Governor Steve Beshear. Conway and Mongiardo are probably going to be the only Democrats that announce for this seat. Conway wins the Democratic Primary and defeats Senator Jim Bunning(R-KY) 54%-45%.
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http://2010garacetracker.wetpa…
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by: SE-779 @ Thu Feb 05, 2009 at 18:09:08 PM CST
by: you @ soon
Obama’s Approval Numbers Only 47%
I’m confused, considering that Survey USA showed the President’s approval ratings in the Bluegrass State to be 62%.
by: Don’t Tase Me, Bro! @ Thu Feb 05, 2009 at 18:58:18 PM CST
by: you @ soon
If it’s Mongiardo vs. Conway…I’m fully behind Conway. My dream candidate would be Luallen, but I doubt it will happen. That said, Mongiardo’s anti-gay rhetoric and his support of mountain top removal (I swear, he said he saw it as “oppurtunity” to build mini malls!) makes him too odious to consider.Check out Blue Arkansas:
http://bluearkansas.blogspot.com/Click here for the new senate guru blog…
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- The entire Senate Guru community wishes Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg a speedy recovery.
- Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid declares that there are enough votes in the Senate now to pass President Obama’s economic stimulus bill.
- Kentucky: New Research 2000 polling sees a swath of statistical dead heats in KY-Sen:
Dems v. Bunning
Jim Bunning (R) 45
Ben Chandler (D) 42Jim Bunning (R) 46
Jack Conway (D) 42Jim Bunning (R) 45
Crit Luallen (D) 41Jim Bunning (R) 46
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 42 |
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Dems v. Grayson
Trey Grayson (R) 42
Ben Chandler (D) 42Trey Grayson (R) 42
Jack Conway (D) 41Trey Grayson (R) 42
Crit Luallen (D) 42Trey Grayson (R) 43
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 42 |
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Favorable-unfavorable numbers
Crit Luallen 53-25 (Net +28)
Ben Chandler 52-28 (Net +24)
Jack Conway 48-27 (Net +21)
Trey Grayson 39-18 (Net +21)
Daniel Mongiardo 50-40 (Net +10)
Barack Obama 47-44 (Net +3)
Jim Bunning 41-47 (Net -6) |
There is, in fact, good news for Jim Bunning in this poll (which is also good news for Democrats who don’t want Bunning to retire). Bunning can point to this poll and say that he still matches up more strongly against Democrats than a stand-in like Trey Grayson does. That said, Bunning is also eminently beatable, given that he only leads Dems by the margin of error and has much weaker favorability numbers.
- Minnesota: Senator-elect Al Franken is petitioning the state Supreme Court to rule in support of a provisional election certificate so that he can be properly seated in the U.S. Senate while Norm Coleman drags his feet with his frivolous lawsuit.
- New Hampshire: As TPM’s Marshall and Blue Hampshire’s elwood point out, Commerce Secretary-designate and still-Senator Judd Gregg’s recusal on all votes pertaining to President Obama’s economic stimulus bill is tantamount to supporting the filibuster of the bill as 60 cloture votes are needed, period. Gregg does have two honorable (or, at least, fundamentally sensible) alternative actions to effectively supporting the filibuster. First, he could vote for cloture and still recuse himself from a vote on the bill itself – since a cloture vote is not a vote necessarily in support of the bill but rather simply a vote to move to a vote on the bill (in other words, it’s a vote against obstruction). Second, he could immediately resign his seat so that his successor could fill it, which makes sense if he’s not going to vote on the biggest issue of the day, anyway. But, no. Instead, Gregg takes the action that would most undermine his new boss’ number one legislative priority.
- Florida: GOP Gov. Charlie Crist reiterated that he will wait until after the completion of the current state legislative session in May before deciding on a 2010 Senate bid. The big impact of this is that a lot of Republicans considering a bid themselves will be forced to tread water as they would likely not want to face a primary against Crist (nor would Florida grassroots activists, fundraisers, and power brokers want to commit to another Republican if Crist does get in). Announced Democratic candidates like Congressman Kendrick Meek should use this time to build up a healthy fundraising edge while Republicans remain frozen in place.
- New York: Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney is joining Congresswoman Carolyn McCarthy in considering a primary challenge to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand in the 2010 Senate special election in New York. You may recall that, during Governor David Paterson’s deliberations over who to appoint to succeed Hillary Clinton in the U.S. Senate, a coalition of women’s organizations backed Maloney for the appointment. However, since being appointed, EMILY’s List has endorsed Senator Gillibrand for election in 2010.
- Louisiana: The Draft Stormy effort, to encourage adult film star Stormy Daniels to challenge prostitute-lovin’ David Vitter in the 2010 Senate race, is picking up steam. At right is the video of news coverage of the effort on New Orleans’ local ABC affiliate.
- Ohio: Rumors are popping up that Governor Ted Strickland is being considered as a possible Secretary of Health & Human Services. If such an appointment came to pass, Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher would ascend to the Governorship and likely lead him to focus on a 2010 Governor run rather than his current 2010 Senate bid. Stay tuned for developments.
- Republican Congressman Pete Sessions of Texas, the Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee, says that the Republican Party should be more like the Taliban. That is not a joke.
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